Fall of Nepal Government

Nepal government Collapsed like card building .  As usual the 'thinkers' are busy in liking their fall with US, China and India.

One need to understand that external forces can only trigger the protests and cannot they cannot be a 100% interference.  

At the outset, we can be sure that India doesn't want any burdens across the border; instead we need a stable neighbor governments.  We have already filled our belly with lot of issues; it's  not our priority or agenda to topple any neighbor governments.

Let's see what has happened in South East Asia, after the Covid Pandamic .  Every neighbour country has suffered in Covid. Fortunately India has fundmentally a strong economy and vaccine formulated intime.  We are lucky enough to got a dynamic leadership; but Bangladesh, Srilanka and Nepal were not.

The Fragile Politics of South Asia: Why Nepal Fell So Fast

The sudden collapse of Nepal’s government in just two days shocked many observers. While it is easy to blame outside players—the US, China, or India—the truth is more complex. Time and again, South Asian instability shows that domestic weaknesses create the cracks; foreign powers only widen them.

Three Different Collapses

1. Bangladesh – The Authoritarian Fall

Bangladesh’s political crisis was not sudden. The ruling party gradually tightened its grip: suppressing opposition, curbing media, and centralising power. The resentment among people built over years, finally boiling over in the form of movements against authoritarianism.

2. Sri Lanka – The Economic Fall

Sri Lanka’s downfall came from within the economy. Lavish spending, populist tax cuts, dependence on tourism, and Chinese loans weakened the state. When COVID and fuel shortages hit, resentment exploded. People marched on the streets, forcing leaders to flee.

3. Nepal – The Dramatic Political Fall

Nepal’s collapse is unique. Its economy is weak, but not bankrupt like Sri Lanka’s. Its political order is democratic, but not suffocatingly authoritarian like Bangladesh’s.

Instead, Nepal suffers from chronic coalition politics:

Multiple parties, mostly Left factions and Congress, shifting loyalties for short-term gains.

Governments formed and broken on the basis of “ministerial share,” not national policy.

Popular trust already eroded by corruption, unemployment, and slow development.

Thus, a single switch in alliance triggers an instant collapse—like a termite-eaten house falling at once.

India’s Viewpoint

For India, stability in the neighbourhood is not a luxury, but a necessity:

Security: Instability in Nepal affects India’s long open border and can create safe havens for hostile groups.

Economy: India absorbs Nepali exports, labour, and also invests in hydropower. Instability delays projects and increases migration pressures.

Geopolitics: A weak Nepal is more vulnerable to Chinese influence, which India wants to check.

Therefore, India’s interest under Modi has consistently been stable and friendly neighbours, not burdens on its diplomacy and economy.

The Record of Lefts and Liberals

A hard truth, often overlooked:

In Nepal, the Left succeeded in unifying to bring down the monarchy and repeatedly toppling governments—but failed in building a stable, growth-oriented state.

In Sri Lanka and Bangladesh too, “liberal” or “left-oriented” promises often turned into populism and factionalism, weakening institutions.

These groups often excel in mobilising protests and dismantling structures, but rarely in sustaining governance.

This is not about bias—it is borne out by repeated experiences in South Asia: political creativity in opposition, but administrative weakness in power.

Conclusion

The fall of Nepal’s government was dramatic, but not surprising. Bangladesh fell to authoritarianism, Sri Lanka to economic mismanagement, and Nepal to chronic coalition fragility. Foreign powers may stir the waters, but the roots are internal.

For India, a stable Nepal is a strategic need, not just neighbourly goodwill. Yet as long as Nepali politics remains a game of shifting alliances, sudden collapses will remain the rule rather than the exception.