India and China Aug 2025

Everyone is aware that China and India sre now coming closer ; thanks to the big brother Trumph. 

It's not China's passion to ease tensions with India. Historically, China was behaving like a Cunning Fox. It's selfishness is unchangeable.  They continue to adapt their strategy:  'Smile and Shakehand with the neighbors and stab them when they are weak'.  This attitude is time and again proved.  

We won't forget 1962 and Galwan. It's greediness for land and hostile attitude continued even with Vietnam.  

While it's a time to oppose the big brother for their rouge attutude,  we should align with China with caution. 

We believe that China has learnt some lessons, and they cannot behave like an another Big brother.

Fortunately, in this crucial period, India got a strong leadership with a clear vision.  

Yet, no one can arrive to a conclusion that border dispute with China can be settled at this juncture.  

Why the border issue is hard to solve

Historical claims: The Line of Actual Control (LAC) was never clearly demarcated; maps differ. China claims Arunachal Pradesh as “South Tibet,” while India sees it as integral.

Strategic geography: The Himalayas are not just symbolic — they are crucial for military defence, water resources, and buffer zones. Neither side wants to “lose face” by conceding.

Domestic politics:

India: As you said, GoI must answer to voters. Any concession would look like “surrender,” which no Indian government can afford.

China: Even though it is not democratic, the CCP derives legitimacy from nationalism. If Beijing concedes to India, it might be seen as weakness internally.

2. Why there could still be a possibility now

Changing geopolitics: US pressure on both India and China may push them to ease frictions, at least temporarily, to avoid playing into Washington’s strategy of “divide and contain.”

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Economic needs:

India wants supply chains and investment.

China’s economy is slowing; it needs stable trade with India (a huge market).

Precedent: Despite 1962 war and later clashes (Galwan 2020), both sides have kept the border largely peaceful for decades with agreements and confidence-building measures.

3. Realistic scenarios

Most likely:

Border dispute will not be permanently solved soon, but managed: fewer skirmishes, more joint patrol agreements, economic cooperation growing alongside military vigilance.

Possible but less likely:

A grand bargain where both sides agree on a permanent LAC settlement. This requires massive political will and compromise — hard, because it risks looking like “loss of territory.”

Unlikely in near term:

Complete withdrawal of Chinese or Indian claims — both sides would see that as political suicide.

4. Key difference between India & China on this

India: Domestic accountability — any weak settlement will face voter backlash.

China: Face-saving diplomacy — they can compromise quietly, but never admit “loss.”

 Conclusion:

At this juncture, a complete resolution of the border dispute is unlikely, but both governments may deliberately de-escalate tensions and strengthen trade cooperation because their bigger challenge is handling US pressure and global economic uncertainties.