IMD and Local weather men

Why Some Individual Weathermen Seem More Accurate:

1️⃣ Local Experience & Microclimate Knowledge

Many independent weathermen are hyper-local experts.

They study city-specific topography, sea breeze patterns, humidity, cloud movement, and localized factors which national models often generalize.

Example: Chennai’s sea breeze timing, convergence zones over North Tamil Nadu, or the Cauvery delta rain spells are better understood by locals.

2️⃣ Freedom to Take Risks

IMD must follow protocol and issue conservative, officially validated forecasts. They can’t afford to create panic.

Independent weathermen can afford to predict unusual patterns, experimental models, or gut-feel based forecasts, which sometimes turn out to be correct.

3️⃣ Use of Multiple Models and Satellite Feeds

Many independent weathermen track open-source international models like ECMWF, GFS, ICON, IMERG, and real-time Doppler radar imagery.

They cross-check between models, look for anomalies, and issue custom forecasts — often with a better sense of local ground reality.

4️⃣ Instant, Direct Communication

Social media (Facebook, Twitter, Telegram) allows them to publish hyperlocal updates instantly.

IMD bulletins follow a fixed schedule and format, while these individuals can quickly react to changing conditions.

5️⃣ Focus on Small Areas

IMD forecasts cover large zones (like "Chennai and surrounding districts" or "coastal Tamil Nadu").

Independent weathermen often predict for small suburbs, city areas, or one taluk.

Example: “T. Nagar and Velachery will get a cloudburst by 7 PM” — something IMD won’t specify. 

Is IMD Really That Bad?Not at all.

IMD has improved vastly — with new radars, high-resolution models, and cyclone tracking.

They have to issue forecasts responsibly for the entire country and can’t indulge in speculative or area-specific predictions without confirmation.

IMD remains the official, authoritative source for weather warnings, cyclone alerts, and disaster management.

Individual HyperActivists on weather forecasting,  don not have any accountability.  People can't  question them, if they fail in their 'forecasts ";  But IMD cannot act or create any sensitive stories.