Saturday, August 9, 2025

US crisis and Impacts on India

Donald Trump is indeed a businessman-turned-president — he had no prior political or diplomatic career before winning the 2016 U.S. election. His approach to international relations was shaped less by traditional diplomacy and more by business-style negotiation, where he often applied a “winner–loser” mindset rather than a “mutual benefit” one.

This style, combined with his blunt communication and tendency to publicly criticise or pressure other countries, made him appear arrogant to many foreign leaders. He often used tariffs, sanctions, and public threats as bargaining tools, which may work in high-stakes business deals but can alienate partners in the diplomatic world.

As for his attitude, it stemmed from a belief in “America First” — a doctrine that the U.S. should prioritise its own economic and strategic interests above all else. However, in execution, this sometimes looked like he expected other nations to align with U.S. policies without question, which gave the impression that he saw them as subordinate players.

This approach did indeed push countries like China, Russia, and even traditional allies to find common ground against what they perceived as U.S. overreach. India, while still maintaining ties with the U.S., also strengthened its independent foreign policy during that time.

2. Japan’s Technology-First Approach

Japan relies heavily on U.S. markets for its high-end cars, robotics, and electronics.

Politically and militarily, Japan is tied to the U.S. through a mutual defense pact — Tokyo depends on Washington’s security umbrella against China and North Korea.

Joining an anti-U.S. alliance would be against its entire post–WWII strategy.

3. India’s Limited Leverage


India’s main export strengths to the U.S. are generic medicines, IT services, and skilled labor.


While important, these are not irreplaceable — the U.S. could shift to the Philippines, Vietnam, or even domestic production if relations soured badly.


India also values its strategic partnership with the U.S. as a counterbalance to China, so cutting ties would hurt its own security interests.

4. Mutual Dependence on the U.S.

All three — Japan, China, and India — benefit enormously from U.S. consumer demand, technology, and investment

Breaking ties would cause massive economic damage to their own economies before it seriously crippled the U.S.


Even China, despite its rivalry, still has the U.S. as its largest single export market.

✅ Conclusion:

The “rest of the world vs. the U.S.” scenario sounds powerful in speeches, but in reality global supply chains and national rivalries make such unity almost impossible.

China will never truly empower India.

Japan will never abandon the U.S. security umbrella.

India will never risk alienating a major trade and strategic partner for China’s benefit.

The U.S. knows this — which is why it can afford to act aggressively without fearing a unified economic blockade.



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