Historically speaking, South Indians have had almost no direct experience of modern warfare. Except for the oft-repeated hearsay about the “Emden bombing of Madras” during World War II, everything else has mostly remained as interesting stories rather than lived reality.
Situations such as stretching out one’s hand for food, shortages of fuel, and endless queues for essential items are things many people here simply cannot imagine.
Many are not even aware that such possibilities could arise in India.
War, wherever it happens and between whomever it is fought, inevitably creates ripple effects across the world. No country can fully escape its consequences.
The biggest immediate concern at present is fuel.
Russian gas that goes to Europe is not used merely for cooking; it is equally vital for heating homes during their harsh winters. Putin believed that Europe would not antagonize Russia precisely because of this dependency.
Yet Europe took the bold step of blocking it and began importing gas from Qatar and other sources.
Now, due to the Iran war, Qatar has halted 50% of its production. This has already led to a global rise in gas prices and shortages.
Will this affect India? Yes, certainly.
This situation will have some impact across the world, especially on major economies like China and India.
India had anticipated such possibilities and made several preparations in advance. Even so, shortages of cooking gas may arise. Hoarding, of course, is another story altogether.
Although emergency reserves exist, the interruption of supplies from countries like Qatar means that when India shifts procurement to alternative sources, some delays are inevitable.
Modi did not travel across Africa, Arabia, Malaysia, Russia, and South America merely for ceremonial visits. He returned after signing multiple agreements with each of these countries.
This is no longer the old India that depended on a single nation. Today, India has arrangements with multiple partners so that if one country fails to supply, others can step in.
Therefore, a shortage of cooking gas may become a subject of debate for media houses, certain political parties, and YouTube commentators. But it is unlikely to push the nation into a major crisis. There may be inconveniences and delays.
Reports about oil tankers being sunk or strategic straits being blocked may appear as mere news items to us. Yet every time a tanker sinks or a sea route is disrupted, such delays and disruptions do occur.
Even though human beings draw borders between nations, each human being ultimately depends on another. That is the nature of human civilization. When one country faces trouble, it inevitably causes tremors elsewhere. In that sense, this war will certainly bring changes to the lifestyles and economic conditions of many nations.
It is often said that the first casualty of war is truth. But in rushing to kill it even faster, some Tamil media outlets seem to take a peculiar enthusiasm.
If people blindly believe everything they say, they may end up like Kamal Haasan’s confused character in Thenali. Indian Tamils would do well to remember that.
Ignorance — especially the kind that focuses only on regional or linguistic sentiments without understanding the nuances of global politics — is the real enemy.
